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In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is a 'game changing' political environment, says Strategas' Dan CliftonDan Clifton, Strategas head of policy research, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the latest inflation numbers, the impact of the current economy on poll numbers and more.
Persons: Strategas, Dan Clifton Dan Clifton
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket is close to the bottom to be putting risk back on again, says Strategas' Chris VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas Research Partners head of technical and macro research, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the latest technical signals after market sell-off, and more.
Persons: Strategas, Chris Verrone Chris Verrone Organizations: Strategas Research Partners
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStock market could see 'flashes' of leadership changes, says Strategas' Chris VerroneChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss Verrone's view towards equity markets, if there's been a twist in the 'plot' of the bull market, and more.
Persons: Strategas, Chris Verrone Chris Verrone, there's Organizations: Email
Strategas' Chris Verone gets technical with tech stocks
  + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verone gets technical with tech stocksChris Verrone, Strategas Head of Technical Analysis, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the technical side of Apple, Paypal and more.
Persons: Chris Verone, Chris Verrone Organizations: Apple, Paypal
Copper prices are in the midst of a sharp rally, and there are a few stocks investors could check out to play the trend, according to Strategas. In a Thursday report, he called out the "explosive move from copper" and identified stocks with exposure to the metal that are breaking out of their multi-year ranges. The average price target suggests downside of about 3% from current levels. The average price target suggests 29% downside from current levels. He also raised his price target to $130 from $91, implying that shares could rally about 17% from their Friday close.
Persons: Chris Verrone, Bernstein, Bob Brackett, Brackett, Jefferies, Alejandro Anibal Demichelis, Demichelis Organizations: Copper, Southern Locations: U.S, Freeport, McMoRan, McRoRan, Indonesia, Mexico
"We believe the recent back up in rates is probably the last best opportunity to extend duration," wrote Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, chief investment and portfolio strategist, Americas, at BlackRock. Generally speaking, the value of a bond goes up as interest rates go down, with longer-dated bonds seeing the biggest gains. While bond funds have been seeing inflows this year, there are still plenty of investors with excess cash in short-term accounts. Different funds that offer that type of exposure include the iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) , the SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (SPTI) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) . Investors shouldn't go overboard with adding duration, because the long-term bonds on the market carry extra risk, Akullian said.
Persons: BlackRock's, Gargi Pal Chaudhuri, Kristy Akullian, It's, Akullian, Investors shouldn't Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Investment Company Institute, BlackRock, CNBC, Treasury Bond ETF, Research, Investors Locations: Americas, BlackRock, US10Y
The S & P 500 is closing out the first quarter on an epic win streak: The index is up 10% year to date and an amazing 25% in the past five months. Select S & P 500 sectors YTD Communication Services up 15% Technology up 12% Energy up 11% Financials up 11% Industrials up 10% Health Care up 8% The only sector down this quarter is real estate, off by 3% in the period. About 70% of the S & P 500 is in the green this year. The S & P 500 advance/decline has been on a tear since the middle of January, with far more stocks advancing on a daily basis than declining. "We saw persistent strength with the S & P 500 up every month from November through February, and this has nearly always been followed by more months of strength," he said.
Persons: Todd Sohn, Strategas, It's, Russell, Ned Davis, Davis, Alec Young Organizations: Communication Services, Technology, Energy, Care
The market may see a new wave of stock splits, creating another growth catalyst for a market that wants to keep rallying, according to Strategas. The median gain of a stock 65 days post-split is 4.1%, compared to the S & P 500's median 2.7% gain during the same period. Stock splits do not change anything fundamentally about the company, but they generally make shares more attractive to the retail trader because of lower prices. Here are the highest-priced stocks in the S & P 500 that Strategas thinks investors could benefit from if they split. Another name on the list, pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly , last announced a 2-for-1 stock split in September 1997.
Persons: Jason Trennert, Trennert, Strategas, Jensen Huang, CNBC's Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly Organizations: Micro Computer, Nvidia, Broadcom, Costco Wholesale
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 20, 2024 in New York City. Stock futures were slightly lower Sunday evening ahead of March's last—and shortened—trading week. S&P futures and Nasdaq 100 futures lost nearly 0.1%. Overall investor sentiment remains above its historical average, according to the latest weekly American Association of Individual Investors Sentiment Survey, reflecting persistent market optimism. This week, investors will gain further insight about the path of inflation from the February personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, released Friday morning.
Persons: Ryan Grabinksi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, American Association of, Strategas Securities Locations: New York City, March's, U.S
There may be a stronger case to invest in single stocks over exchange-traded funds in the weight loss space. With just two players currently at the forefront of the U.S. obesity drug market, ProShares' Simeon Hyman questions the relevance of weight loss ETFs for investors looking to buy into the industry. "If the benefits are going to incumbents, then maybe there isn't a theme per se that needs to be exploited." Strategas' Sohn also suggested that ETFs based on themes, rather than sectors or indices, might be falling out of favor with investors. So far in 2024, Novo Nordisk has gained 29% and Eli Lilly is up 30%, as of Wednesday's close.
Persons: Todd Sohn, Eli Lilly, Lilly, CNBC's, ProShares, Simeon Hyman, Sohn Organizations: Roundhill, Novo Nordisk Locations: U.S, Novo
But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.
Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verrone names these sectors as being on the verge of a breakoutChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss which sectors he believes are on the verge of a breakout.
Persons: Chris Verrone
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's been a pretty serious deterioration in the standard of living: Strategas' Jason TrennertJason Trennert, Strategas Research Partners chairman and CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, impact of tariffs on inflation, and more.
Persons: Strategas, Jason Trennert Jason Trennert Organizations: Strategas Research
U.S. equities aren't the only ones on a bull run — the Japanese stock market is also enjoying an upward climb. "It is the case that the Japanese stock market remains almost exclusively driven by foreign money," Jefferies head of global equity strategy Christopher Wood wrote in a March 7 note. According to Wood, foreign investors now own almost a third of the Japanese stock market, a dramatic rise from the 4% level in 1989, when the asset bubble reached its peak. Morgan Stanley noted that quality stocks have outperformed the broader market so far in 2024. Transitioning out of deflation Rate policy has been another big factor in the recent market rally.
Persons: Jefferies, Christopher Wood, Wood, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Makoto Furukawa, Ryota Sakagami, Citi's Sakagami Organizations: Nikkei, Global, Retailing, Holdings, Toyota Motor, Subaru, Mitsubishi, Citi, Japan, U.S, Bank of Locations: Japan, U.S, Tokyo, Bank of Japan
One of Wall Street's favorite investment vehicles turns 25 years old on Sunday, but shows no signs of fading to the background as it ages. One of the main conversation points around the 2023 rally for the QQQ, and the entire U.S. market, is the dominance of just a handful of key stocks. Over the years, many key stocks have left the fund, including former top performers like Nextel Communications and Sun Microsystems, which were bought out. Related plays Competition in the ETF industry for the QQQ has expanded dramatically over the past quarter century, including from other Invesco funds. That fund is less than four years old but has already surpassed $20 billion in total assets.
Persons: Wall, Ryan McCormack, McCormack, Todd Sohn Organizations: Nasdaq, Qs, Microsoft, Intel, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nextel Communications, Sun Microsystems, Pepsico, Amgen Locations: United States, U.S
The Scope 3 disclosure requirements have drawn strong criticism from many corporations, who claim the regulations are too burdensome. The climate disclosure rule was first proposed in March 2022. Since Congress has not passed major climate legislation for years, opponents of the SEC's climate rule will likely sue the SEC and cite West Virginia v. EPA, again arguing that Congress has not granted specific authority for the SEC to act on climate change. The disclosures required from the proposed SEC rule may shuffle the deck on companies that are considered "green" or "not so green." Arne Noack, manager of the Xtrackers S&P 500 ESG ETF and DWS Head of Systemic Investment Solutions for the Americas, will be the guest on ETF Edge at 1:10 p.m.
Persons: Gary Gensler, Gensler, overreach, Joe Biden, Kathleen McLaughlin, Arne Noack, Noack, Todd Sohn, He'll, Dave Nadig Organizations: SEC, U.S ., Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Capitol, Washington , D.C, The Institute, New York University School of Law, Environmental Defense Fund, Reuters, Securities, Exchange, Walmart, APA, EPA, Act, America, Corporate, Equity, Systemic Investment Solutions, Edge Locations: Washington ,, America, West Virginia, Virginia, ESG, Americas, ETFedge.cnbc.com
The S & P 500 is ending February with a gain of almost 5%. S & P 500: Four big months November: up 8.9% December: up 4.4% January: up 1.6% February: up 4.6% The November gain of 8.9% was one of the 20 best monthly performances in history. The S & P has advanced about 5% since passing the old January 2022 historic high, which it crossed on Jan. 19, this year. Put another way: the S & P has recovered all the bear market losses from the old high in January 2022 to the bear market bottom in October 2022, and added another 5%. "Yet it also offers encouragement that no post-recovery selloff saw the start of a new bear market before rebounding and proceeding onto additional new highs."
Persons: Steve Starker, Todd Sohn, Eli Lilly, Nicholas Colas, Sam Stovall Organizations: Nvidia, P, Technology, Services, Care, Broadcom, Communication Services, Meta, Health Care, Merck, Depot, Costco, JPMorgan, Mastercard, Berkshire Hathaway, Research Locations: BTIG
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategas' Chris Verrone says, health care will lead the next market rallyChris Verrone, Strategas head of technical and macro research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss which sector he believes will be the next driver of the market rally.
Persons: Chris Verrone
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on January 26, 2023 in New York City. Stock futures were marginally lower on Tuesday morning as investors prepared for a key inflation report. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 38 points or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.18%, while Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.21%. In regular trading, the 30-stock Dow closed at a fresh record.
Persons: Carl Icahn, Dow, Chris Verrone, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Avis Budget, JetBlue Airways, Federal Reserve, Hasbro, Marriott International, MGM Resorts Locations: New York City
The swift rally has pushed Berkshire's market cap above $863 billion as of Friday's close, making it the seventh most valuable company in the U.S. Road to 600k It took Berkshire Class A shares about two years to go from $500,000 to $600,000. In terms of market cap weighting and earnings contribution to the S & P 500, Berkshire is now the best candidate to join the crowd, Strategas said. High price tag Berkshire's original Class A shares carry one of the highest price tags on Wall Street . Berkshire's Class B shares have gained more than 11% this year and also hit an intraday record of $399.15 earlier this week.
Persons: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Tesla, Tesla —, Eli Lilly, Strategas, Buffett, Ben Graham Organizations: U.S, BNSF Railway, Geico Insurance, U.S ., PetroChina, Alleghany, Occidental Petroleum, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Strategas Securities, Broadcom Locations: Warren Buffett's, U.S, Omaha, Berkshire, Saudi Aramco
According to VanEck CEO Jan van Eck, oil stocks are getting a raw deal. The companies are arguably the next best cash flowing companies [compared to] the semiconductors ," he told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "They're trading at double-digit cash flow yields for E&Ps [exploration and production] and sectors in the oil market. His firm runs the VanEck Oil Services ETF . Strategas' Todd Sohn also characterizes oil stocks as unloved and sees potential for a turnaround.
Persons: Jan van Eck, CNBC's, Baker Hughes, van Eck, Strategas, Todd Sohn Organizations: VanEck Oil Services, Schlumberger, Halliburton
Now some on Wall Street believe Tesla no longer deserves to be among the coveted " Magnificent 7 ," and are suggesting alternatives that could replace Elon Musk's company. "The Magnificent 7 now looks more like the Magnificent 6 as Tesla falls from the crowd," billionaire investor Leon Cooperman , CEO of the Omega Family Office, said on CNBC's " Squawk Box " Tuesday. Meanwhile, there are now 29 companies that contributed more to S & P 500 earnings than Tesla, according to Strategas Securities. The research firm identified three companies with both market cap weighting and earnings contributions (for the next 12 months) larger than Tesla — Berkshire Hathaway , Broadcom and Eli Lilly . "Berkshire spent last year fliting with the top seven, but Broadcom and Lilly have steadily gained share," Strategas said in a note.
Persons: Tesla, Elon, Leon Cooperman, Berkshire, Eli Lilly, Lilly, Strategas, Warren, Eli Lilly's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Elon Musk's, Omega, Strategas Securities, Berkshire Hathaway, Broadcom, Berkshire, JPMorgan Locations: Warren Buffett's Berkshire
As megacap tech stocks continue to fuel the rally on Wall Street, investors appear to be betting even more heavily that the big run for those market leaders will continue. Between the start of December and Feb. 2, tech sector funds brought in about $5.2 billion — more than double the next closest sector — according to Strategas. In fact, cumulative flows into all other sector funds combined have been net negative over the past three months. Not all tech sector funds will include every member of the Magnificent 7. The biggest health care sector funds on the market include the Health Care Select SPDR Fund (XLV) and the Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) .
Persons: Todd Sohn, " Sohn, Sohn's, Chris Verrone, Verrone Organizations: Nvidia, Vanguard Information Technology, Apple, Microsoft, Vanguard Health Care
New York University's Aswath Damodaran said Nvidia is overpriced, even when compared with the rest of the so-called " Magnificent Seven " companies. "And today's prices, I mean, all of the stocks looked overpriced, but I think Nvidia stands out as particularly overpriced." NVDA 1D mountain Nvidia Nvidia is one of the seven stocks that have continued to rise as a group in 2024 after leading the S & P 500 in 2023. Together, the seven stocks are up about 9% for the year. Instead, Damodaran favors Apple and Tesla in the Magnificent Seven group of companies, saying they are more attractive after their recent declines.
Persons: Aswath Damodaran, Damodaran, CNBC's, it's, Tesla, Chris Verrone, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Nvidia Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Apple Locations: York
Meta's strong earnings has been a major factor in pushing up overall S & P 500 earnings estimates. The S & P 500 is up 4% for the year, but the equal-weight S & P 500 is up only 0.2%. Only about half the stocks in the S & P 500 are up this year. The two main small-cap indices, the Russell 2000 and the S & P SmallCap 600 , are both down 3% for the year. "If the S & P 500 was the Mag 7, it would be trading above 10k now."
Persons: Russell, we've Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, New York Stock Exchange, Software, NVIDIA, Apple
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